Underdog Tips

Feeling like I’ve woken up from a nap that lasted far too long, this article is being written the same way I’ve enjoyed most things in my life - quick and messy. Hopefully, next year I can get back to writing the same epics for Underdog as I have in previous years. Much of my approach has remained the same from previous years, which you can review here:  https://www.southharmonff.com/articles/category/The+Underdog+Series

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The Elite Series T-Rock The Elite Series T-Rock

NFL Breakout Data

Dynasty Players are an inpatient bunch. Drugged up on an intense regimen of YouTube, Spotify, and Twitter content, fantasy managers fidget compulsively and go crazy with pursuing roster perfection. “Should I buy?! How long should I hold?!? What will happen if I sell too early?!?!?” So much of our investment in a player is wrapped up in one singular hope - A Potential Breakout. Like teenagers waiting to hit puberty, dynasty managers agonize over WHEN and IF their players will achieve the sought-after “Elite Social Status.” To set your minds more at ease, the research in this article is dedicated to answering one major question: “When Does Each Position Breakout In The NFL?”

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The 2025 Class: Post-Draft

Welcome, fantasy warriors of the world. Today, you become part of a tradition that began years ago. The Rookie Kumite was first used by the Kuso Yarou, the Shithead Clan, to measure the drafting skills and spirit of its members. Every year, the best fantasy experts would face each other in high-stakes leagues, with one winner emerging as the superior dynasty warrior - The Champion. The Kuso Yarou has been joined by the South Harmon Vibes Society as co-sponsor for this event and as the guardians of a rich and powerful heritage. After three days of drafting, one fighter will prove themself to be the best, and claim the Kin no unko - The Golden Poo. May the mightiest warrior prevail!

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The 2025 Class: Pre-Draft

The Rookie Draft isn’t merely an event - it’s a way of life. It doesn’t matter if you’re a player, a scout, a GM, or a fan; the NFL Draft is meaningful to a wide range of people. Seeing where a player lands and how franchises can be transformed overnight make the event a real-life drama. Similar to Martial Arts, there are many disciplines involved in evaluating prospects. Some subscribe to an analytical school of thought, while others prefer watching film. Regardless of your philosophy, it’s undeniable that scouting rookies can become quite combative throughout the football world. The months leading up to the NFL Draft are a blood sport, where only the fearless survive the brutality of the process. Without proper training, your work can get its ass kicked and tossed out of the dojo. We will begin this journey by looking back at 2024.

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The Rookie Draft

Will this be the year I draft the next Jayden Daniels to turn around my dynasty team, or will I continue to struggle in the mire of mediocrity? The buildup and stakes are often overwhelming leading up to the Rookie Draft. No other event during the year quite compares to it. Many of my greatest fantasy football lessons have been tested and refined in the crucible of the rookie process. In the final installment of the Attacking The Draft series, this article will cover the wisdom and strategy for navigating the Rookie Draft.  I would like to thank Mike Liu, Peter Howard, Jax Falcone, Jakob Sanderson, Scott Conner, Adam McFerran, Mike Chrystal, and many others for their knowledge and for making this article possible.

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Auction Drafts

There’s nothing more American than an Auction Draft. In an auction, you can draft whoever you want and construct however you want. You want your favorite player? Great, you can have him. You don’t feel like drafting for a while? Fuck it, go get sauced at the pub. That’s the problem with Snake Drafts. In a traditional draft, everything is given to you in an orderly fashion. In an Auction, no one gives it to you. You have to take it. This style of drafting rewards preparation, experience, and strategy in a way Snake Drafts never come close to. Similar to poker, the main focus of the Auction is reading and manipulating your opponent, making it the World Series of Drafting. The only downside is managing a budget, which can be problematic for someone who never looks at price tags. But don’t worry, you don’t need an Accounting degree from Cambridge to draft a team. By the end of this article, you’ll understand the Cardinal Rules of drafting and hopefully wake up to see what you’ve been missing with Auctions.

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The Trade Chart

The Startup Draft sets the tone for the league. From the onset, those with a champion mindset want to pursue every advantage they can. Trading during the Startup is one way contenders separate themselves from the rest of the league.  Trading up at a value for a cornerstone player or trading back to accumulate assets are great paths toward imposing your will on the league. All juggernaut teams are conceived during the Startup Draft. This article will explain how you can navigate through the frenzy of the draft and position your team for future success.

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Snake Draft Checklist

Keep in mind that your drafted team isn’t your FINAL team. Your roster could look significantly different by the end of the season if you’re active in free agency and trading for players. 

But at the end of the day, this is your team and the one you’re taking into battle. So draft the players you’re willing to get in a bunker with and Unleash Hell! 

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Playoff Odds & Strategy

We’ve all seen it before. One minute your team is sweeping across the league like a tidal wave. The next minute, you’re down by 20 points with only Rico Dowdle left to play. Then it hits you “I’m fucked.” All of that hard work and success over the last four months has turned to shit, ready to be flushed. Panic creeps up your spine and you remember Switch’s last words from the Matrix, “Not like this. Not like this.” 

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Playoff Odds & Strategy

The overwhelming sentiment during the playoffs is to leave no stone unturned when chasing a Championship. Move heaven and earth if you must, but do not finish the season with regret wondering, “Could I have done more?” But how often do you go “All-In,” mortgaging your entire future by trading away valuable picks and players, only to be bounced early in the playoffs? These trades inevitably define your roster for the next few seasons and with no draft capital they can be almost impossible to dig out of. 

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Lessons Learned, Week 17 - 2024 T-Rock Lessons Learned, Week 17 - 2024 T-Rock

WK 17 - Lessons Learned In 2024

The Playoffs are everyone’s favorite time of the year. Everyone’s except mine, of course. Managers everywhere are desperate to ensure that the last year or more of preparation wasn’t wasted. And that’s where I come in. I’m not selling proven analytics or effective strategies. What people really want is hands-on consultation, affirmation, and consolation. They want their favorite players built up to be gods and a crystal ball to discover the next league winner. But people don’t understand that it's all a farce. A dream that will never be a reality. The truth is that only one champ is crowned at the end of every year. With open arms, I welcome everyone else with the bitter taste of loss left in their mouths. I try to show them a better way.

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Week 16 - 2024 T-Rock Week 16 - 2024 T-Rock

Week 16 Waiver Targets

The South Harmon Agency has more high-tier operatives gathering intel than ever before. Be sure to keep your channel open and collect data from the various sources as it comes in. In terms of FAAB bidding, review your league’s previous waiver behavior to navigate the wire best. The waiver wire will become more bare as the season continues, especially in best ball formats.

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RB, Week 13 - 2024 T-Rock RB, Week 13 - 2024 T-Rock

WK 13 - RB Buys Of 2024

During the 2023 Campaign, our Agency identified De’Von Achane, Kyren Williams, Alvin Kamara, David Montgomery, Rachaad White, D’Andre Swift, Josh Jacobs, Tony Pollard, and Austin Ekeler as RB Interests in the Week 13 Dossier. These RBs were ranked at the time of the week 13 Agency Bulletin and finished as follows in PPR leagues: Achane 27th (finished 24th), Kyren 12th (finished 5th), Kamara 4th (finished 9th), Montgomery 19th (finished 18th), Rachaad 5th (finished 6th), Swift 14th (finished 17th), Jacobs 9th (finished 23rd), Pollard 11th (finished 15th), and Ekeler 26th (finished 25th). Learning from last season, analytics can help identify the top-performing players, but their situation determines a player’s finish.

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Week 14 - 2024 T-Rock Week 14 - 2024 T-Rock

Week 14 Waiver Targets

The South Harmon Agency has more high-tier operatives gathering intel than ever before. Be sure to keep your channel open and collect data from the various sources as it comes in. In terms of FAAB bidding, review your league’s previous waiver behavior to navigate the wire best. The waiver wire will become more bare as the season continues, especially in best ball formats.

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